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Machinery industry: the future development direction of China's construction machinery in the next f

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Recent industry:

Media reports 2, China Construction Machinery Industry Association Secretary General disclosed that the construction machinery industry "12th Five-Year" plan has been reported to the relevant departments of the state, will be released in July. We believe that the publication of the industry "12th Five-Year plan" will be the direction of the development of construction machinery in the next five years, which will help to enhance the confidence of the market for long-term growth of construction machinery.

1) the whole industry will continue to achieve steady growth: "12th Five-Year" period, 2015 construction machinery industry sales revenue is expected to reach 900 billion yuan, an average annual compound growth rate of 17%, the industry exports will reach $26 billion, exports accounted for nearly 20%. Although compared with the growth rate of 2001-2005 and 2006-2010, 21.3% and 28.1%, the industry growth has slowed down significantly during the period of 12th Five-Year. But we believe that in the past ten years after the peak of growth experience, the market worried about the construction machinery market is already saturated, it is difficult to achieve growth, while the "12th Five-Year" planning will be introduced to a certain extent, enhance the market of construction machinery of long-term growth of confidence.

2) the growth rate of product performance will reflect the difference from the 12 products industry association statistics point of view, to benefit from the penetration increases, and the tower crane concrete pump truck, concrete mixer truck for concrete machinery in the next five years the average annual compound growth rate is expected to reach more than 15%; wheel cranes, crawler cranes, graders, pavers are expected to achieve steady growth in the next five years, the average annual compound growth rate of more than 10%; and rollers, loaders, bulldozers due to market holdings increased significantly and the substitution effect of low growth, the next five years the average compound growth rate only to maintain single digit growth;

3) the research and development of core components will be upgraded to a new height: the lag of key infrastructure components is the bottleneck restricting the long-term competitiveness of construction machinery in china. In the past ten years, the market demand is brisk, and the enterprises focus on the rapid expansion of the mainframe capacity to meet the market demand, and the development of key components and basic technology has lagged behind for a long time. We believe that with the increasing competition in the industry in 12th Five-Year "during the development of the core components are expected to be promoted to a new height, is expected to form a government led, industry association, led by leading enterprises combined with a breakthrough in the situation, so as to achieve a qualitative leap;

4) industry restructuring and merger is expected to accelerate: we believe that with the new round of capacity expansion since 2010, overcapacity in the "middle and late 12th Five-Year" may become a key factor restricting the development of the market. The next five years, the industry leading enterprises are expected to use their own advantages, through mergers and acquisitions to expand product chain and the layout of the market, the market competition mechanism to eliminate backward and low level repeated construction, industry concentration will be significantly improved.


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